Former First District Representative Karlo Nograles has surpassed former President Rody Duterte in the Social Pulse Philippines Davao City mayoralty race, according to a survey posted on Wednesday, March 5.

The survey, conducted from February 11 to 27, showed a contrasting result to the University of Mindanao (UM) IPO’s recent survey, revealing Nograles’ lead over Duterte with 43%.

The returning mayor gained 38%, while evangelist Bishop Rod Cubos had 15%. Tan and Julaine both recorded identical results of 2%.

The survey was conducted using face-to-face interviews with a total of 2,000 registered voters aged 18 and above.

Margin of Error: ±3%
Confidence Level: 95%

The face-to-face methodology aligns with the standard approach of Social Pulse Philippines, ensuring direct voter engagement and high accuracy in capturing voter sentiment.

Pulso ng Bayan is a nationwide survey initiative by Social Pulse PH, aimed at capturing public opinion on electoral preferences, governance, and socio-political issues. Recognized for its methodical approach, the survey provides reliable, data-driven insights into voter sentiment leading up to the 2025 elections.